Popular Minecraftspeedrunner and content creator Dream has been stripped of a record after the Minecraft Speedrunning Team issued the verdict that his “astronomical luck” during runs was the result of modified game code. Dream continues to deny any sort of tampering with Minecraft’s code in his a rebuttal, but the cheating verdict still stands.

Dream’s rise to fame in 2020 has been unprecedented, to say the least. Of Dream’s 14 million YouTube subscribers, 12.5 million were gained between January and November of this year. This is due to the popularity of Dream’s original Minecraft Manhunt series, in which he attempts to beat Minecraft as quickly as possible while being hunted by friends. Each MinecraftManhunt episode has over 15 million views and features Dream outwitting his friends with insanely “lucky” maneuvers. While these videos are impressive, it is important to note that there is widespread speculation that the feats performed in these videos are scripted.

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Before Minecraft Manhunt, Dream was known for holding multiple world records speedrunning Minecraft. However, the Minecraft Speedrunning Team has concluded that Dream had been cheating during his recent speedruns due to his “one-in-a-thousand luck” when acquiring rare items necessary to complete the game in the time he did. The items in question are Ender Pearls, which are obtained randomly by bartering with Piglins, and Blaze Rods, which can only be dropped by killing Blazes. In a 14-minute video and 29-page analysis PDF, the Minecraft Speedrunning Team outlines how Dream’s so-called luck is far beyond feasible and is much higher than any other speedrunner’s by a suspiciously wide margin.

According to the analysis of six consecutive live streams, Dream managed to successfully trade gold ingots for Ender Pearls 42 out of 262 Piglin barters. He also received 211 Blaze Rods after killing 305 Blazes. These results are considerably higher than Minecraft’s base odds, as Blazes have a 50% chance to drop Blaze Rods when killed, and each Piglin barter only has a 5% chance of netting an Ender Pearl. The analysis paper goes into detail as to how unfeasible these number are, with the team concluding that the odds of having Dream’s Ender Pearl and Blaze Rod luck is 1 in 177 billion and 1 in 113 billion, respectively. After considerable analysis of Dream’s runs, the Minecraft Speedrunning Team declared that Dream had to have modified his game in some way to receive the drop rates displayed in his runs.

On Twitter and elsewhere, Dream still maintains that he did not cheat and claims that the analysis video and paper is biased. He pointed out incorrect information from the analysis video, which the Minecraft Speedrunning Team has since corrected with correct information in the description, but the verdict still stands. Dream also stated that this only affected his 16th place speedrun for Minecraft 1.16 and did not affect his 5th place run for Minecraft 1.15.

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The most interesting part of the Minecraft Speedrun Team’s analysis video is its speculation about why Dream would fake a speedrun. Dream has held and lost many world records in his speedrunning career but has openly expressed his dislike of Minecraft1.16 due to the RNG involved in runs. However, the question could also be asked as to why the official team would go after Dream‘s 16th place run from two months ago, but it’s entirely possible that its investigation took time to put together after being tipped off.

Sources: Minecraft Speedrunning Team, Dream Investigation Results, Dream

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